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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

Usually the repus get 8-11% of the black vote,. not apparently now.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 10:37:33 AM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

So a 2% shift is really that monumental to you?

I hope a single bee doesn't fly into your yard or will you have to call the fire department for the SWARM OF ATTACKING KILLER BEES


Tony Romo for Secretary of Awesome
by kasjogren on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:00:33 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

It's not 2%, it's higher than that. 94 to 1 is a lot higher than 90/10.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:01:47 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

You said 8-11%  So on the low end, which is what it would be, that is a 92-8 vs. 94-6...I mean really, you are going to argue with your own math?


Tony Romo for Secretary of Awesome
by kasjogren on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:04:49 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

Excuse me, 94 to 1 is a 93 point spread. Usually it would be 90 to 10 which is a 10 point spread. I'm NOT arguing with my own math.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:18:52 PM EST
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94% of a BIG pie is a lot more (none / 0)

than 94% of a small pie.

You are all overlooking the importance of black turnout.  It's likely to be disproportionately large in the general election.  So it's nice that the black percentage is just a little higher (nearly unanimous), but don't forget that a big turnout means 94% of a much bigger pie.


by Dumbo on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:28:27 PM EST
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Re: 94% of a BIG pie is a lot more (none / 0)

I didn't say anything about turnout, I'm talking %'s.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:36:20 PM EST
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and with the margin of error (none / 0)

it may still be 90-10.

First of all, this is a more Democratic year, so you have more people across the board voting Democratic. More white men, more women, more evangelicals even. My uncle, for example, has voted Republican since Reagan and was voting Democratic whether it was Obama or Clinton (he's black). So that may explain a 2% shift, or more, to 92-8, where it still might be.

94-1 means 5% are still undecided. With the MOE that number can be anywhere from 90-10 to 98-2.


The American people; they were for the war before they were against it.
by nrafter530 on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 02:16:38 AM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (1.00 / 1)

Sounds like they are a lot smarter than the current 20% Clinton voters that decline to vote Obama.
I wonder if any of those people care about  race, that number sounds eerily familiar to our less sophisticated voters in the Appalachian mountain, 1 in 5, htat said race did have to with their vote.  
by KLRinLA on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:35:23 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

Well I guess, as one of the 20%--actually it was up to 43% in another poll, I guess I'm just not smart enough to figure that out.  After all the Obama supporters are on a higher plain of mankind (just like him) right up there with Plato and Aristotles. Why they even respond to us peons is remarkable in and of itself.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:39:04 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

Well, we are just giving you your wanted attention, with your racy openers.  
elle oh elle
by KLRinLA on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:47:13 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

I don't want attention anymore than you do. I want HRC on the ticket and also to point out a few things about the recent primary season-in particular the media coverage.


by handsomegent on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:48:52 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

Fine, but you have a ham headed way of getting to your point.  I am open to the suggestion of Hillary as VP, but not as prez.  I also refuse to hold our Nominee hostage, but the numbers should be analayzed by Obama's campaign to see the potential for benefit to winning, getting a well suited VP for his agenda, and making sure he can mitigate the heavy partisanship within the nation.


by KLRinLA on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 01:01:42 PM EST
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Re: Q Poll: Obama opens 9 point lead (none / 0)

"Why they even respond to us peons is remarkable in and of itself."

It's because we pity you, actually.


by Aris Katsaris2 on Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 12:50:47 PM EST
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