I am ignoring the polls for a number of reasons?
I doubt any of the millenials are being polled, too mobile, at school, cell phones.
Hell, I haven't had a land line in years, I never get polled.
"And as we all know, the national numbers are useless since Barack can run up huge margins in some states and lose marginally in swing states, with the net result of a popular win and an electoral loss.
Or "And as we all know, the national numbers are useless since Barack can run up huge margins in some states and win marginally in swing states, with the net result of a small popular win and an electoral landslide"
I like to work on that positive mental image.
...I just think it is more of stretch than it looks like on this polls. The polls in Indiana show him ahead. I've been to Indiana and my gut feeling that there is no way that could be true. But those Rocky Mountain states are looking good. I think younger and more fit is a good thing in Colorado and New Mexico. It's no place for old men to win elections.
I'm disappointed that Jim Webb isn't interested in VP. A white, southern working class, economic populist, ex-military guy would be a real strength.
Of course my first choice for pres, John Edwards, would be a plus...but I'm afraid that he would have to toe the candidate's party line like he did in 2004. He's better as a number one.
the VP thing is going to be big
But I fully expect McCain to pick Romney even though he hates his guts. But Romney has the money repugs and the Bush crime family behind him.
It's strange that MSM think Romney would be strong in Mich. Even though his dad was government, Mitt's claim to fame is taking over US companies and offshoring the jobs.
what I hear around me. Around me, where I live, Obama and Clinton are both hated, FISA is popular, and the way to lower gas prices is to nuke the Middle East.
I live in New York City. From my perspective, Obama would lose New York City...and that's not going to happen.